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Old 2004-09-23, 22:27   #1
Uncwilly
6809 > 6502
 
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Aug 2003
101×103 Posts

7·13·101 Posts
Default Predict M42

Ok, folks, moving beyond the poll, let us try to predict M42.


THE RULES OF THE GAME:
  1. Post your guess here, no PM'ing me.
  2. Your guess must be a prime number (we are guessing the exponent).
  3. The guesses are for 'M42', that is: the next reported Mersenne prime that is larger than the 41st known Mersenne Prime, namely 224,036,583-1
  4. You can not guess a number that has already been guessed.
  5. If there is a tie (i.e. 2 posts are equally close and meet all other rules), the first post gets it.
  6. You may post 1 guess every 90 days (after posting a guess you must wait 90 days, not wait til a new quarter).
  7. All guesses received within the 48 hours before M42 is reported are hereby disqualified (to prevent cheating).
    I ask the moderators to lock this thread when M42 is reported.
  8. The discoverer of M42 will have all guesses posted more than 4 days after they were assigned the expo that is reported to be prime, hereby disqualified.
  9. If the prime that is reported fails the rechecks, those disqualified in 7 and 8 will be restored.
  10. Commentary should be greatly restrained.
  11. Further rules may be added if needed.


From time to time, I may post stats on the guesses.
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Old 2004-09-23, 22:46   #2
Uncwilly
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Default

My wild starter guess:

42,141,607
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Old 2004-09-24, 11:16   #3
wpolly
 
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Sep 2002
Vienna, Austria

3338 Posts
Default

41,991,811
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Old 2004-09-28, 19:35   #4
Uncwilly
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Nobody else wants to go on the record with a guess????????
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Old 2004-10-27, 18:00   #5
Uncwilly
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100011111001112 Posts
Default

bump
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Old 2004-10-27, 18:58   #6
Wolf
 
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Jul 2003
UK

3·17 Posts
Default

38,009,849
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Old 2004-10-27, 20:08   #7
Tihy
 
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Oct 2004
Romania

910 Posts
Default

Is there any "Moore's" law that can be applied on primes?
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Old 2004-10-27, 20:26   #8
Andi47
 
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Oct 2004
Austria

2×17×73 Posts
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My guess is 28,756,447
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Old 2004-10-27, 20:30   #9
patrik
 
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"Patrik Johansson"
Aug 2002
Uppsala, Sweden

52×17 Posts
Default

27496619
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Old 2004-10-27, 22:02   #10
Uncwilly
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Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by Tihy
Is there any "Moore's" law that can be applied on primes?
See: http://www.utm.edu/research/primes/n...tMersenne.html
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Old 2004-10-27, 23:00   #11
jinydu
 
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Dec 2003
Hopefully Near M48

2·3·293 Posts
Default

I think he meant the largest known prime by year. If I didn't have a midterm exam tomorrow, I would look for that.
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