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Old 2020-09-30, 15:44   #3323
De Wandelaar
 
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Less than 1,000 LL/PRP (987) to do before reaching 100M (if my count is correct) ...
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Old 2020-09-30, 17:59   #3324
Uncwilly
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And it looks like we have passed 20,000 exponents cleared with a Cert.
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Old 2020-10-01, 15:36   #3325
petrw1
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Default Over 30,000,000 exponents factored under 1B.

https://www.mersenne.ca/status/tf/0/0/1/0

And interestingly that is very, nearly exactly 59%.
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Old 2020-10-01, 18:51   #3326
ATH
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Quote:
Originally Posted by petrw1 View Post
https://www.mersenne.ca/status/tf/0/0/1/0

And interestingly that is very, nearly exactly 59%.
It happened at 6am UTC on Tuesday Sep 29th:
2020-09-29 05 UTC 29,999,248
2020-09-29 06 UTC 30,000,015

Right now we are at +53201 factors in the last 30 days. At that rate your 20M unfactored goal will be reached in ~476 days (late January 2022).
The last 365 days had +348742 factors. At that rate the 20M unfactored will be reached in ~883 days (March 2023)

Last fiddled with by ATH on 2020-10-01 at 18:56
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Old 2020-10-01, 22:03   #3327
Uncwilly
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Quote:
Originally Posted by ATH View Post
Right now we are at +53201 factors in the last 30 days. At that rate your 20M unfactored goal will be reached in ~476 days (late January 2022).
The last 365 days had +348742 factors. At that rate the 20M unfactored will be reached in ~883 days (March 2023)
SRBase taping into BOINC resources is the reason for the big difference.
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Old 2020-10-01, 22:48   #3328
petrw1
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Quote:
Originally Posted by ATH View Post
Right now we are at +53201 factors in the last 30 days. At that rate your 20M unfactored goal will be reached in ~476 days (late January 2022).
The last 365 days had +348742 factors. At that rate the 20M unfactored will be reached in ~883 days (March 2023)
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Old 2020-10-13, 21:17   #3329
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It would be bad if these exponents were to be the ones to hold up the 100M milestone:
https://www.mersenne.org/assignments...&exp1=1&extf=1
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Old 2020-10-13, 22:13   #3330
Prime95
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A trio of Radeon VIIs are blasting through them. I did get behind working on the slug of 93M exponents reserved for TF.
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Old 2020-10-17, 15:01   #3331
Viliam Furik
 
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Default Good news!

Based on the fact the expiration date of the exponent with the furthest expiration date under 100M which is further than its ETA is 3rd of December, 2020, and assumption the world doesn't end in a big boom caused by some atomic bomb before the end of 2020, I think we will finish first-time-checking all the exponents under 100M before Christmas 2020.

Source



(Yes, it's quite a complex sentence.)
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Old 2020-10-17, 15:09   #3332
Viliam Furik
 
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Viliam Furik View Post
Based on the fact the expiration date of the exponent with the furthest expiration date under 100M which is further than its ETA is 3rd of December, 2020, and assumption the world doesn't end in a big boom caused by some atomic bomb before the end of 2020, I think we will finish first-time-checking all the exponents under 100M before Christmas 2020.

Source



(Yes, it's quite a complex sentence.)
Dang it! I made a mistake. The bold part is supposed to go like this: "...estimated completion date of the exponent with the furthest completion date under 100M which is closer than its expiration date..."

So once again, now correctly:

Based on the fact the estimated completion date of the exponent with the furthest completion date under 100M which is closer than its expiration date is 3rd of December, 2020, and assumption the world doesn't end in a big boom caused by some atomic bomb before the end of 2020, I think we will finish first-time-checking all the exponents under 100M before Christmas 2020.
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Old 2020-10-23, 14:55   #3333
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Default 1 left to 94M

https://www.mersenne.org/assignments...xtf=1&exdchk=1
The next few minor milestones in first tests also contain very few remaining.
  • Countdown to first time checking all exponents below 95 million: 9
  • Countdown to first time checking all exponents below 96 million: 21
  • Countdown to first time checking all exponents below 97 million: 27
98M 38
99M 69
100M 151

Longest expiration for ETAs past year-end to 100M is 58 days, so there's a chance of 100M first test milestone by year-end after some expirations and reassignments.

Last fiddled with by kriesel on 2020-10-23 at 14:56
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