odds in genetics.

[science_man_88]

hi as you probably know I have a condition that's rare I was wondering if anybody else wanted to help figure out the likely genetics behind conditions if possible.

[Oddball]

Originally Posted by science_man_88

I was wondering if anybody else wanted to help figure out the likely genetics behind conditions if possible.

Hmmm, let's focus on positive conditions.

Odds that a random kid will have the genes necessary to become an Olympian: 1 in 5000
Odds that a random kid will have the genes necessary to become a professional movie star or singer: 1 in 3000
Odds that a random kid will have the genes necessary to become a supermodel: 1 in 95000
Odds that a random kid will have the genes necessary to win a Nobel Prize: 1 in 600
Odds that a random kid will have the genes necessary to become a valedictorian at his/her high school: 1 in 15

Any other guesses? Your guess is as good as mine.

[retina]

Originally Posted by Oddball

Odds that a random kid will have the genes necessary to become a professional movie star or singer: 1 in 3000
Odds that a random kid will have the genes necessary to become a supermodel: 1 in 95000

I thought you were trying to list positive things?

Anyhow, science_man_88, what is your condition? Do you have a link?

[Oddball]

Odds that a random kid will have the genes necessary to become a professional movie star or singer: 1 in 3000
Odds that a random kid will have the genes necessary to become a supermodel: 1 in 95000

Originally Posted by retina

I thought you were trying to list positive things?

There is something positive about becoming a movie star, singer, or supermodel: lots of cash

[science_man_88]

Originally Posted by retina

I thought you were trying to list positive things?

Anyhow, science_man_88, what is your condition? Do you have a link?

I made a website about it so I should lol.

http://nephroticsyndrome.webs.com/

though the odds my doctors said in general were 1 in 10,000.

[science_man_88]

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Genetic...NA_codon_table

it has a lot of subtypes though. I'm a mild case. can we figure out using the odds what genetics are involved ?

[science_man_88]

http://www.mersenneforum.org/showthread.php?t=13620 is me starting something on it.

and

http://www.mersenneforum.org/showthread.php?t=13344 is about me.

[science_man_88]

anyone else still care to try this ?

[science_man_88]

the mutations I can find the names of are:

frame-shift
insertion
inversion
leaky
lethal
mis-sense
point
non-sense

anyone know the odds of these ? or care to talk on them ?

[xilman]

Originally Posted by science_man_88

hi as you probably know I have a condition that's rare I was wondering if anybody else wanted to help figure out the likely genetics behind conditions if possible.

Not me. I know a tiny amount about genetics and a tiny amount about probability.

What I do know is that your question is likely to be unanswerable without much more careful phrasing.

A rather contrived example: the a priori probability that you are human is less than unity. You may be a particularly good AI capable of fooling every Turing test yet performed on your postings. If this is in fact the case, the probability that "genetics" is behind your "condition" is zero.

A more plausible example: if you are male, the likelihood of you having haemophilia is greater than if you are female.

Paul

[science_man_88]

Originally Posted by xilman

Not me. I know a tiny amount about genetics and a tiny amount about probability.

What I do know is that your question is likely to be unanswerable without much more careful phrasing.

A rather contrived example: the a priori probability that you are human is less than unity. You may be a particularly good AI capable of fooling every Turing test yet performed on your postings. If this is in fact the case, the probability that "genetics" is behind your "condition" is zero.

A more plausible example: if you are male, the likelihood of you having haemophilia is greater than if you are female.

Paul

I'm male,22,canadian,overweight, and like 9 conditions on one side of my family or within my siblings.