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Old 2018-02-02, 16:22   #1
sudaprime
 
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Default probable largest prime.

complexions in computing ristricts calculating the probable largest prime, in Mersenne's series.
the series goes like this.
M3 = 7 is prime. (M2 = 3, starting from 2, is prime and M3= M(M2))
M7 = 127 is prime, ( or M7= M(M3) )
M127 = 1.7e38 is prime or( M127= M(M7)) and it is most likely that,
M(M127) is a prime.

practically it takes ages to devolop a machine to calculate M(M127) then it takes more to test whether its a prime or not.

we can not test this at this time.
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Old 2018-02-02, 17:45   #2
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Therefore M^n(2) is prime for all n>0.

This could be similar to the mistake Fermat made for 2^{2^n}+1

Last fiddled with by paulunderwood on 2018-02-02 at 17:49
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Old 2018-02-02, 17:53   #3
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The double mersenne numbers follow 2*x^2+4*x+1 if I knew how to apply this a certain number of times easily, we could find polynomials that these Catalan mersennes are on.
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Old 2018-02-02, 17:57   #4
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Quote:
Originally Posted by sudaprime View Post
... it is most likely that,
M(M127) is a prime.
I expect the likelihood of it being prime is the opposite of what you claim. Being such a large number I find it more likely to be composite. I base this on my unmathematical observation that there are a great many possible numbers that could be a divisor. I see no reason to put any credence into an apparent progression length of only four.
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Old 2018-02-02, 18:47   #5
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I don't know if more recent work has been done, but Double Mersennes Prime Search has searched k < 111e15:
http://www.doublemersennes.org/mm127.php

This means that MM127 has no prime factors below 2*k*M127 = 3.777... * 10^55, which in turn means that it's exp(gamma)*log(3.777... * 10^55) ~ 228 times more likely to be likely than an average number of its size.* This raises the 'probability' of it being prime from 1/log(MM127) to 228/log(MM127) ~ 228/(M127 * log 2) which is a little less than 2 in 10^36.

For comparison, you're 438 times more likely to win all of the Powerball, Mega Millions, Eurojackpot, and EuroMillions jackpots buying just one ticket each.

* This can be made precise in the usual way.
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Old 2018-02-02, 22:15   #6
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Old 2018-02-02, 22:22   #7
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Quote:
Originally Posted by CRGreathouse View Post
For comparison, you're 438 times more likely to win all of the Powerball, Mega Millions, Eurojackpot, and EuroMillions jackpots buying just one ticket each.
So you're saying there's a chance. Keep the dream alive!
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Old 2018-02-03, 02:52   #8
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Since 3 makes a pattern according to the OP, here is a way to find an even larger prime:
3, 5, and 7 are all prime. By continuing this pattern of adding two every time, all odd numbers are prime. Woot!
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Old 2018-02-03, 05:00   #9
ATH
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Quote:
Originally Posted by CRGreathouse View Post
For comparison, you're 438 times more likely to win all of the Powerball, Mega Millions, Eurojackpot, and EuroMillions jackpots buying just one ticket each.

* This can be made precise in the usual way.
If I'm that likely to win all those, I might even win without buying tickets!!!



I did actually win the Eurojackpot tonight, seriously!!!

though I did not win the huge 570M dkk jackpot. I won 83 dkk (~$14).
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Old 2018-02-03, 05:59   #10
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Quote:
Originally Posted by VBCurtis View Post
3, 5, and 7 are all prime. By continuing this pattern of adding two every time, all odd numbers are prime. Woot!
https://xkcd.com/1310/
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Old 2018-02-03, 06:02   #11
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Okay, so to summarise this thread it appears that the way to prove MM127 is prime is to simply win all of the Powerball, Mega Millions, Eurojackpot, and EuroMillions jackpots 438 times. That seems doable. The only downside is becoming a multi-multi-billionaire. Oh well, nothing is perfect.
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