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 2008-09-12, 11:16 #232 cochet     Feb 2007 France 47 Posts M sept 2008 It would be logic, for me, that M discovered on 6 th september is : 37156667 This exponent is into the interval I have always privileged. All tests are conclusive. But I am a little, little "amateur". Alain
2008-09-12, 13:04   #233
Uncwilly
6809 > 6502

"""""""""""""""""""
Aug 2003
101×103 Posts

101000000011112 Posts

Quote:
 Originally Posted by cochet It would be logic, for me,
Hopefully you are doing better than the individual in your avatar.

 2008-09-12, 20:24 #234 akruppa     "Nancy" Aug 2002 Alexandria 2,467 Posts Then what is your guess for the other discovered prime? We are now in the rare situation where we can test your guess in short order. Alex
 2008-09-12, 20:29 #235 Uncwilly 6809 > 6502     """"""""""""""""""" Aug 2003 101×103 Posts 5×7×293 Posts I would cochet, but he soooo funny.
 2008-09-12, 21:04 #236 cochet     Feb 2007 France 47 Posts Sorry Alex, but no conjecture for M august. Ravi d'amuser l'oncle Willy. Mes posts auront au moins servi à quelque chose !
2008-09-12, 21:33   #237
T.Rex

Feb 2004
France

32·103 Posts

Quote:
 Originally Posted by cochet This exponent is into the interval I have always privileged.
What is this interval ? An exponent between 10M and 50M ?

Last fiddled with by akruppa on 2008-09-14 at 11:31 Reason: fixed quote tag

2008-09-16, 13:26   #238
bsquared

"Ben"
Feb 2007

2×11×163 Posts

Quote:
 Originally Posted by cochet It would be logic, for me, that M discovered on 6 th september is : 37156667 This exponent is into the interval I have always privileged. All tests are conclusive. But I am a little, little "amateur". Alain
Cochet strikes back. Too bad the prediction didn't come until after the annoucement that a prime had been found.

Last fiddled with by bsquared on 2008-09-16 at 13:28

2008-09-16, 13:38   #239
Mini-Geek
Account Deleted

"Tim Sorbera"
Aug 2006
San Antonio, TX USA

10AF16 Posts

Quote:
 Originally Posted by bsquared Cochet strikes back. Too bad the prediction didn't come until after the annoucement that a prime had been found.
Still, did he just actually predict M45? Even with a prime being announced, it wasn't announced which exponent was prime, and he wouldn't have had any more hints about it than any of us, out of the largish pool of M45 candidates.

2008-09-16, 13:55   #240
bsquared

"Ben"
Feb 2007

2×11×163 Posts

Quote:
 Originally Posted by Mini-Geek Still, did he just actually predict M45? Even with a prime being announced, it wasn't announced which exponent was prime, and he wouldn't have had any more hints about it than any of us, out of the largish pool of M45 candidates.
Looks that way. However, throw enough darts, and you're bound to hit a bullseye eventually. The question is did he throw enough darts for this to be chance?

P.S. I'm not trying to advocate for him... just wanted to point this out as interesting.

Last fiddled with by bsquared on 2008-09-16 at 13:57

2008-09-16, 14:15   #241
Mini-Geek
Account Deleted

"Tim Sorbera"
Aug 2006
San Antonio, TX USA

427110 Posts

Quote:
 Originally Posted by bsquared Looks that way. However, throw enough darts, and you're bound to hit a bullseye eventually. The question is did he throw enough darts for this to be chance? P.S. I'm not trying to advocate for him... just wanted to point this out as interesting.
About 1 in 7 chance, as there were only 7 first-time tests reported in the hour that M45 was first reported.

 2008-09-16, 16:45 #242 cochet     Feb 2007 France 1011112 Posts OUIIII ... Dear friends (and others), No, it's not a chance or a coincidence. I have said many a time that my favorite bracket was : 37020163-37271995 (posts 118, 146, 154, 198, etc in this thread) Most candidates I have proposed were into this interval. We can determine logically this one. So, I think there is a mathematic law behind, that is to discover. It's true that I had 1 chance on 9 (and not 7), from the list of the last hour of discovering, but I had 1 chance on 40, approximatively, to be in the wright interval between 32 millions and 43 millions for M45. No, there is no doubt. The method works. Alain PS : I have send a post to Georges on July to point out I was always working on this interval. Peut-être s'en rappelle-t-il ?

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