20080912, 11:16  #232 
Feb 2007
France
47 Posts 
M sept 2008
It would be logic, for me, that M discovered on 6 th september is : 37156667
This exponent is into the interval I have always privileged. All tests are conclusive. But I am a little, little "amateur". Alain 
20080912, 13:04  #233 
6809 > 6502
"""""""""""""""""""
Aug 2003
101×103 Posts
10100000001111_{2} Posts 

20080912, 20:24  #234 
"Nancy"
Aug 2002
Alexandria
2,467 Posts 
Then what is your guess for the other discovered prime? We are now in the rare situation where we can test your guess in short order.
Alex 
20080912, 20:29  #235 
6809 > 6502
"""""""""""""""""""
Aug 2003
101×103 Posts
5×7×293 Posts 
I would cochet, but he soooo funny. 
20080912, 21:04  #236 
Feb 2007
France
47 Posts 
Sorry Alex, but no conjecture for M august.
Ravi d'amuser l'oncle Willy. Mes posts auront au moins servi à quelque chose ! 
20080912, 21:33  #237 
Feb 2004
France
3^{2}·103 Posts 
What is this interval ? An exponent between 10M and 50M ?
Last fiddled with by akruppa on 20080914 at 11:31 Reason: fixed quote tag 
20080916, 13:26  #238 
"Ben"
Feb 2007
2×11×163 Posts 
Cochet strikes back. Too bad the prediction didn't come until after the annoucement that a prime had been found.
Last fiddled with by bsquared on 20080916 at 13:28 
20080916, 13:38  #239 
Account Deleted
"Tim Sorbera"
Aug 2006
San Antonio, TX USA
10AF_{16} Posts 
Still, did he just actually predict M45? Even with a prime being announced, it wasn't announced which exponent was prime, and he wouldn't have had any more hints about it than any of us, out of the largish pool of M45 candidates.

20080916, 13:55  #240  
"Ben"
Feb 2007
2×11×163 Posts 
Quote:
P.S. I'm not trying to advocate for him... just wanted to point this out as interesting. Last fiddled with by bsquared on 20080916 at 13:57 

20080916, 14:15  #241 
Account Deleted
"Tim Sorbera"
Aug 2006
San Antonio, TX USA
4271_{10} Posts 
About 1 in 7 chance, as there were only 7 firsttime tests reported in the hour that M45 was first reported.

20080916, 16:45  #242 
Feb 2007
France
101111_{2} Posts 
OUIIII ...
Dear friends (and others), No, it's not a chance or a coincidence. I have said many a time that my favorite bracket was : 3702016337271995 (posts 118, 146, 154, 198, etc in this thread) Most candidates I have proposed were into this interval. We can determine logically this one. So, I think there is a mathematic law behind, that is to discover. It's true that I had 1 chance on 9 (and not 7), from the list of the last hour of discovering, but I had 1 chance on 40, approximatively, to be in the wright interval between 32 millions and 43 millions for M45. No, there is no doubt. The method works. Alain PS : I have send a post to Georges on July to point out I was always working on this interval. Peutêtre s'en rappelletil ? 