mersenneforum.org Where is 'M45'? - poll #2
 User Name Remember Me? Password
 Register FAQ Search Today's Posts Mark Forums Read

 View Poll Results: Where will the next mersenne be found? 43,000,001 to 45,000,000 6 20.69% 45,000,001 to 48,000,000 5 17.24% 48,000,001 to 51,000,000 5 17.24% 51,000,001 to 54,000,000 9 31.03% 54,000,001 to 56,000,000 4 13.79% Voters: 29. You may not vote on this poll

 2008-06-09, 20:28 #1 Uncwilly 6809 > 6502     """"""""""""""""""" Aug 2003 101×103 Posts 3×2,963 Posts Where is 'M45'? - poll #2 Based upon a suggestion, in the attempted use of group logic: The poll is designed to narrow the range down for where M45 might be. Then in a follow-up poll, narrow it down further, etc. For the purpose of this poll, M45 is being defined as the next mersenne found. Of course we are using the convention of using the exponent, without the 2^ -1. No guesses, predictions, or reasoning in this thread. Only voting and comments about the poll. This is based upon the results of the previous poll. (sorry for the delay).
 2008-06-09, 20:33 #2 retina Undefined     "The unspeakable one" Jun 2006 My evil lair 5,879 Posts You don't have my guess listed. So what am I to vote for?
2008-06-09, 21:27   #3
Uncwilly
6809 > 6502

"""""""""""""""""""
Aug 2003
101×103 Posts

100010101110012 Posts

Quote:
 Originally Posted by retina You don't have my guess listed. So what am I to vote for?
The ranges listed are from the range in poll #1 that had the highest number of votes.

Choose the range that you think is closest to the actual.

2008-06-09, 21:40   #4
retina
Undefined

"The unspeakable one"
Jun 2006
My evil lair

5,879 Posts

Quote:
 Originally Posted by Uncwilly The ranges listed are from the range in poll #1 that had the highest number of votes.
Yeah, I know that.
Quote:
 Originally Posted by Uncwilly Choose the range that you think is closest to the actual.
Okay I know this is just for fun and all, but, you are skewing the results. Hehe, how to lie with statistics 101: First lesson; Don't let the subject choose his/her preferred option.

2008-06-09, 21:49   #5
Uncwilly
6809 > 6502

"""""""""""""""""""
Aug 2003
101×103 Posts

3×2,963 Posts

Quote:
 Originally Posted by retina Yeah, I know that.Okay I know this is just for fun and all, but, you are skewing the results. Hehe, how to lie with statistics 101: First lesson; Don't let the subject choose his/her preferred option.
I belled the ranges slightly 2-3-3-3-2. This was not to drive anyone any which way to vote, mainly it was out of laziness. I do suspect that the trend will be away from center. Any that voted for the ranges above or below this range will likely vote for the tails.

Last fiddled with by Uncwilly on 2008-06-09 at 21:50 Reason: clairfication

 2008-06-10, 22:36 #6 Uncwilly 6809 > 6502     """"""""""""""""""" Aug 2003 101×103 Posts 22B916 Posts If there is a tie, or nearly so, the next poll may cover both ranges. This one will run for about a week.
 2008-06-11, 11:46 #7 cheesehead     "Richard B. Woods" Aug 2002 Wisconsin USA 22×3×599 Posts Since IMO the narrowing-down from the previous poll to this one is ridiculous, I simply voted for the interval that had the fewest votes, to help even up the numbers.
2008-06-11, 13:11   #8
Uncwilly
6809 > 6502

"""""""""""""""""""
Aug 2003
101×103 Posts

3·2,963 Posts

Quote:
 Originally Posted by cheesehead Since IMO the narrowing-down from the previous poll to this one is ridiculous, I simply voted for the interval that had the fewest votes, to help even up the numbers.
You should have withheld your vote, in that case. If the poll was a blind one that would be better.

2008-06-11, 16:18   #9
davieddy

"Lucan"
Dec 2006
England

6,451 Posts

Quote:
 Originally Posted by cheesehead Since IMO the narrowing-down from the previous poll to this one is ridiculous, I simply voted for the interval that had the fewest votes, to help even up the numbers.
How do you peek before voting?

2008-06-11, 16:25   #10
Mini-Geek
Account Deleted

"Tim Sorbera"
Aug 2006
San Antonio, TX USA

17·251 Posts

Quote:
 Originally Posted by davieddy How do you peek before voting?
View Poll Results button.

2008-06-11, 17:05   #11
robo_mojo

Mar 2008

1000002 Posts

Quote:
 Originally Posted by cheesehead Since IMO the narrowing-down from the previous poll to this one is ridiculous, I simply voted for the interval that had the fewest votes, to help even up the numbers.
Don't underestimate the power of voting to narrow down the location of M45!

 Similar Threads Thread Thread Starter Forum Replies Last Post MooMoo2 Other Chess Games 0 2016-11-07 06:07 Oddball Lounge 7 2010-08-22 21:02 Uncwilly Lounge 3 2008-08-23 20:29 Uncwilly Lounge 10 2008-06-22 05:32 Uncwilly Lounge 38 2008-06-09 16:25

All times are UTC. The time now is 02:31.

Sun Nov 29 02:31:21 UTC 2020 up 79 days, 23:42, 3 users, load averages: 1.49, 1.33, 1.24