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Old 2010-08-21, 17:30   #1
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Default odds in genetics.

hi as you probably know I have a condition that's rare I was wondering if anybody else wanted to help figure out the likely genetics behind conditions if possible.
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Old 2010-08-21, 18:29   #2
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Originally Posted by science_man_88 View Post
I was wondering if anybody else wanted to help figure out the likely genetics behind conditions if possible.
Hmmm, let's focus on positive conditions.

Odds that a random kid will have the genes necessary to become an Olympian: 1 in 5000
Odds that a random kid will have the genes necessary to become a professional movie star or singer: 1 in 3000
Odds that a random kid will have the genes necessary to become a supermodel: 1 in 95000
Odds that a random kid will have the genes necessary to win a Nobel Prize: 1 in 600
Odds that a random kid will have the genes necessary to become a valedictorian at his/her high school: 1 in 15

Any other guesses? Your guess is as good as mine.

Last fiddled with by Oddball on 2010-08-21 at 18:30 Reason: revising odds
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Old 2010-08-21, 18:35   #3
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Oddball View Post
Odds that a random kid will have the genes necessary to become a professional movie star or singer: 1 in 3000
Odds that a random kid will have the genes necessary to become a supermodel: 1 in 95000
I thought you were trying to list positive things?

Anyhow, science_man_88, what is your condition? Do you have a link?
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Old 2010-08-21, 18:37   #4
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Odds that a random kid will have the genes necessary to become a professional movie star or singer: 1 in 3000
Odds that a random kid will have the genes necessary to become a supermodel: 1 in 95000
Quote:
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I thought you were trying to list positive things?
There is something positive about becoming a movie star, singer, or supermodel: lots of cash
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Old 2010-08-21, 18:56   #5
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Quote:
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I thought you were trying to list positive things?

Anyhow, science_man_88, what is your condition? Do you have a link?
I made a website about it so I should lol.

http://nephroticsyndrome.webs.com/

though the odds my doctors said in general were 1 in 10,000.
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Old 2010-08-21, 18:58   #6
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http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Genetic...NA_codon_table

it has a lot of subtypes though. I'm a mild case. can we figure out using the odds what genetics are involved ?
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Old 2010-08-21, 19:03   #7
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http://www.mersenneforum.org/showthread.php?t=13620 is me starting something on it.

and

http://www.mersenneforum.org/showthread.php?t=13344 is about me.
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Old 2010-09-18, 15:33   #8
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anyone else still care to try this ?
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Old 2010-10-28, 15:14   #9
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Default odds on certain mutation types

the mutations I can find the names of are:

frame-shift
insertion
inversion
leaky
lethal
mis-sense
point
non-sense

anyone know the odds of these ? or care to talk on them ?
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Old 2010-10-28, 17:46   #10
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Quote:
Originally Posted by science_man_88 View Post
hi as you probably know I have a condition that's rare I was wondering if anybody else wanted to help figure out the likely genetics behind conditions if possible.
Not me. I know a tiny amount about genetics and a tiny amount about probability.

What I do know is that your question is likely to be unanswerable without much more careful phrasing.

A rather contrived example: the a priori probability that you are human is less than unity. You may be a particularly good AI capable of fooling every Turing test yet performed on your postings. If this is in fact the case, the probability that "genetics" is behind your "condition" is zero.

A more plausible example: if you are male, the likelihood of you having haemophilia is greater than if you are female.

Paul
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Old 2010-11-09, 22:01   #11
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Quote:
Originally Posted by xilman View Post
Not me. I know a tiny amount about genetics and a tiny amount about probability.

What I do know is that your question is likely to be unanswerable without much more careful phrasing.

A rather contrived example: the a priori probability that you are human is less than unity. You may be a particularly good AI capable of fooling every Turing test yet performed on your postings. If this is in fact the case, the probability that "genetics" is behind your "condition" is zero.

A more plausible example: if you are male, the likelihood of you having haemophilia is greater than if you are female.

Paul
I'm male,22,canadian,overweight, and like 9 conditions on one side of my family or within my siblings.
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