20100821, 17:30  #1 
"Forget I exist"
Jul 2009
Dumbassville
2^{6}·131 Posts 
odds in genetics.
hi as you probably know I have a condition that's rare I was wondering if anybody else wanted to help figure out the likely genetics behind conditions if possible.

20100821, 18:29  #2  
May 2010
499 Posts 
Quote:
Odds that a random kid will have the genes necessary to become an Olympian: 1 in 5000 Odds that a random kid will have the genes necessary to become a professional movie star or singer: 1 in 3000 Odds that a random kid will have the genes necessary to become a supermodel: 1 in 95000 Odds that a random kid will have the genes necessary to win a Nobel Prize: 1 in 600 Odds that a random kid will have the genes necessary to become a valedictorian at his/her high school: 1 in 15 Any other guesses? Your guess is as good as mine. Last fiddled with by Oddball on 20100821 at 18:30 Reason: revising odds 

20100821, 18:35  #3  
Undefined
"The unspeakable one"
Jun 2006
My evil lair
2×17×173 Posts 
Quote:
Anyhow, science_man_88, what is your condition? Do you have a link? 

20100821, 18:37  #4  
May 2010
499 Posts 
Quote:


20100821, 18:56  #5  
"Forget I exist"
Jul 2009
Dumbassville
2^{6}·131 Posts 
Quote:
http://nephroticsyndrome.webs.com/ though the odds my doctors said in general were 1 in 10,000. 

20100821, 18:58  #6 
"Forget I exist"
Jul 2009
Dumbassville
2^{6}×131 Posts 
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Genetic...NA_codon_table
it has a lot of subtypes though. I'm a mild case. can we figure out using the odds what genetics are involved ? 
20100821, 19:03  #7 
"Forget I exist"
Jul 2009
Dumbassville
8384_{10} Posts 
http://www.mersenneforum.org/showthread.php?t=13620 is me starting something on it.
and http://www.mersenneforum.org/showthread.php?t=13344 is about me. 
20100918, 15:33  #8 
"Forget I exist"
Jul 2009
Dumbassville
2^{6}×131 Posts 
anyone else still care to try this ?

20101028, 15:14  #9 
"Forget I exist"
Jul 2009
Dumbassville
2^{6}×131 Posts 
odds on certain mutation types
the mutations I can find the names of are:
frameshift insertion inversion leaky lethal missense point nonsense anyone know the odds of these ? or care to talk on them ? 
20101028, 17:46  #10  
Bamboozled!
"πΊππ·π·π"
May 2003
Down not across
2·5·1,039 Posts 
Quote:
What I do know is that your question is likely to be unanswerable without much more careful phrasing. A rather contrived example: the a priori probability that you are human is less than unity. You may be a particularly good AI capable of fooling every Turing test yet performed on your postings. If this is in fact the case, the probability that "genetics" is behind your "condition" is zero. A more plausible example: if you are male, the likelihood of you having haemophilia is greater than if you are female. Paul 

20101109, 22:01  #11  
"Forget I exist"
Jul 2009
Dumbassville
2^{6}·131 Posts 
Quote:


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