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Old 2021-10-04, 13:21   #3466
kruoli
 
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Quote:
Originally Posted by kriesel View Post
[…] the other completes […]
Unfortunately, it might not, at least not in the next few hours/days. Only if the assignee has set his update frequency to the server ridiculously high or he has had no internet connection for five days or so, I would second that it will complete in a shortly manner. If looking at the original assignment date, I much rather would assume that the assignee has his computer running for fewer hours per day than he set in Prime95's (or mprime's) CPU setting window, so the estimation from September 30th that it finishes today is deemed to be wrong.
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Old 2021-10-04, 14:39   #3467
kriesel
 
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Quote:
Originally Posted by kruoli View Post
Unfortunately, it might not
You're right, its listing is consistent with having been stalled for days and possible expiration in 20. Instead of completes I should have written was estimated by the server to complete.
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Old 2021-10-08, 00:35   #3468
slandrum
 
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It appears that all exponents below 105M have now been tested at least once. The last two in the 104M range were turned in today.
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Old 2021-10-10, 13:10   #3469
greenskull
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Here I will try to predict the passing of the next milestones, which will be verified at least once.
Of course, I only use my Magic Crystal Ball.

Click image for larger version

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106 mio -- Nov 2, 2021
107 mio -- Dec 25, 2021
108 mio -- Feb 02, 2022
109 mio -- Mar 03, 2022
110 mio -- Apr 02, 2022

My vision looks like this.

Click image for larger version

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I am sorry there is not too much text on the graph. But it seems to me that everything is already clear.
x axis is the days, x=44500 = October 31, 2021.
y axis is the millionth milestones.

I'm not very good at short distances. But how much can I write about cacti?
The levels I predicted here are still far away.
https://www.mersenneforum.org/showth...619#post589619

Therefore, I will try to entertain myself and everyone else with this 106..110 mio prediction.
I have no goal to hit exactly. It is more interesting for me to test my hypothesis of local acceleration up to the level of 120.

Last fiddled with by greenskull on 2021-10-10 at 14:02
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Old 2021-10-13, 15:55   #3470
kriesel
 
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DC to 58M done
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Old 2021-10-25, 16:21   #3471
kriesel
 
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Default 8 to 106M

Currently 8 left to first test to 106M minor milestone, of which 5 have updated the server within the past day.
https://www.mersenne.org/assignments...chk=1&excert=1
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Old 2021-11-15, 16:04   #3472
James Heinrich
 
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All exponents below 232 have now been TF'd to at least 271
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Old 2021-11-15, 16:27   #3473
kriesel
 
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Quote:
Originally Posted by James Heinrich View Post
All exponents below 232 have now been TF'd to at least 271
I assume you mean all those exponents below 232 without found factors for the corresponding Mersenne number. Otherwise https://www.mersenne.ca/exponent/1143276403 which has a known 56 bit factor and has been taken to 68 bits, would serve as a counterexample.
(Oh, and, hurrah!)
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Old 2021-11-15, 16:46   #3474
James Heinrich
 
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Quote:
Originally Posted by kriesel View Post
I assume you mean all those exponents below 232 without found factors for the corresponding Mersenne number
Correct. I believe everything in the 1G-4G range has been exhaustively TF'd to 64 regardless of factors found, and all exponents either have known factor(s) or have been TF'd to 71+

Last fiddled with by James Heinrich on 2021-11-15 at 16:46
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Old 2021-11-15, 16:58   #3475
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What about these ranges? No factors and not TF'd to 71 bits.


Last fiddled with by masser on 2021-11-15 at 16:59
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Old 2021-11-15, 18:23   #3476
kriesel
 
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Quote:
Originally Posted by kriesel View Post
I assume you mean all those exponents below 232 without found factors for the corresponding Mersenne number
... have been trial factored to at least the lesser of optimal bit depth or 71 bits. Otherwise it would be a claim of M(7)=127 and other small or very small exponents' Mersenne numbers having been trial factored to 71 bits somehow, considerably above the Mersenne.ca factoring depth curves.
https://www.mersenne.ca/status/tf/0/0/1/0
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