Election, 2004...

Xyzzy · 2004-10-10, 03:08

Well, any thoughts?

Uncwilly · 2004-10-10, 04:41

Yeah, don't talk about it any more. :)

xilman · 2004-10-10, 09:04

Quote:

Originally Posted by Xyzzy

Well, any thoughts?

I expect Hamad Karzai to win, though probably after a second-stage.

Somehow I doubt he'll have widespread support or much real power outside the capital.

Paul

outlnder · 2004-10-10, 09:15

I think Gore will take it, everywhere but Florida.

rogue · 2004-10-10, 12:38

I've watched the debates and all I can think is '...and one of these guys is going to be the next president?'

JuanTutors · 2004-10-10, 17:02

I once had sex with George W. Bush. Should I keep that a secret?

Mystwalker · 2004-10-10, 20:47

IMHO, http://www.electoral-vote.com/ is quite a good resource. It takes state polls and creates a map of the US, showing the "territories" of the candidates. It's updated daily.

JuanTutors · 2004-10-10, 23:25

Quote:

Originally Posted by Mystwalker

IMHO, http://www.electoral-vote.com/ is quite a good resource. It takes state polls and creates a map of the US, showing the "territories" of the candidates. It's updated daily.

I've actually become addicted to this site.

Four years ago it would have been much more accurate relative to today. I'm thinking the number of undecided voters are higher than they were two weeks ago before any of the debates started. But this year even the measuring of the electoral lean has become extremely volatile, especially since people now are known to say things just to throw off polls. I'm sure it's still pretty accurate after the plus/minus. However, it's hard to tell whether the electorate is really angry enough to storm the polls for Kerry on November 2nd.

clowns789 · 2004-10-11, 21:08

Something odd I noticed was several times in debates Kerry said, "I made a mistake in my speech, but Bush made a mistake in invading Iraq." But he always said he supported it!

Prime95 · 2004-10-11, 22:13

Uh oh, clowns789 posted something of substance ... the war of words will soon escalate.

I don't put much faith in electoral-vote.com's polls. Last election most polls had Bush leading Gore by 3 to 5 percent on the day before election. Only Zogby called it right.

How about this website where you actually wager on the outcome, http://www.tradesports.com/ This shows 59% of bettors believe Bush will win re-election. You can even look at the betting for each state.

PrimeCruncher · 2004-10-11, 22:20

Quote:

Originally Posted by Prime95

Uh oh, clowns789 posted something of substance ... the war of words will soon escalate.

Not necessarily. He didn't define who 'he' was. But you're right, it probably will soon escalate. Who's the mod for this section?

2004-10-10, 03:08	#1
Xyzzy "Mike" Aug 2002 1F30₁₆ Posts	Election, 2004... Well, any thoughts?

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2004-10-10, 04:41	#2
Uncwilly 6809 > 6502 """"""""""""""""""" Aug 2003 101×103 Posts 3·5⁵ Posts	Yeah, don't talk about it any more. :)

2004-10-10, 09:15	#4
outlnder Aug 2002 2·3·53 Posts	I think Gore will take it, everywhere but Florida.

2004-10-10, 12:38	#5
rogue "Mark" Apr 2003 Between here and the 2·3²·347 Posts	I've watched the debates and all I can think is '...and one of these guys is going to be the next president?'

2004-10-10, 17:02	#6
JuanTutors Mar 2004 765₈ Posts	I once had sex with George W. Bush. Should I keep that a secret?

2004-10-10, 20:47	#7
Mystwalker Jul 2004 Potsdam, Germany 3·277 Posts	IMHO, http://www.electoral-vote.com/ is quite a good resource. It takes state polls and creates a map of the US, showing the "territories" of the candidates. It's updated daily.

2004-10-11, 21:08	#9
clowns789 Jun 2003 The Computer 17·23 Posts	Something odd I noticed was several times in debates Kerry said, "I made a mistake in my speech, but Bush made a mistake in invading Iraq." But he always said he supported it!

2004-10-11, 22:13	#10
Prime95 P90 years forever! Aug 2002 Yeehaw, FL 2·13·283 Posts	Uh oh, clowns789 posted something of substance ... the war of words will soon escalate. I don't put much faith in electoral-vote.com's polls. Last election most polls had Bush leading Gore by 3 to 5 percent on the day before election. Only Zogby called it right. How about this website where you actually wager on the outcome, http://www.tradesports.com/ This shows 59% of bettors believe Bush will win re-election. You can even look at the betting for each state.