Quote:
Originally Posted by kriesel
Based on the previous few months countdown of remaining exponents to DC to 56M to zero today, and the current remaining count for Mp48*, an estimate is computed which yields ~20211007.

There is the effect of Cat 2, then Cat 1, and then Cat 0 limits passing the milestone.
And then there is the effect that as the exponents to achieve the milestone gets below say 20, there can be more intense activity than when it was 150 to go.