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Search: Posts Made By: kriesel
Forum: Marin's Mersenne-aries 2021-10-17, 16:48
Replies: 136
Views: 10,761
Posted By kriesel
Apparently you missed my point. People do not...

Apparently you missed my point. People do not perfectly follow rules. And even if they did, due to other factors, there would be occasional unneeded tests completed or other mechanisms of cycles...
Forum: Marin's Mersenne-aries 2021-10-17, 16:44
Replies: 136
Views: 10,761
Posted By kriesel
That's been mentioned a few times in another...

That's been mentioned a few times in another thread, most recently https://mersenneforum.org/showpost.php?p=590548&postcount=34
Forum: Marin's Mersenne-aries 2021-10-06, 21:30
Replies: 136
Views: 10,761
Posted By kriesel
No matter where the expiration duration is set,...

No matter where the expiration duration is set, or how well people resist poaching, there will be triple matching results on occasion. Take a look at the attachments of post 130. Most of the last 10...
Forum: Marin's Mersenne-aries 2021-10-06, 18:40
Replies: 136
Views: 10,761
Posted By kriesel
Mp48 milestone appears to have been delayed relative to trend of recent DC milestones

Comparing the last 12 days before reaching the 54M, 55M, 56M, 57M, and Mp48, respectively, indicates a trend toward more DC results submitted in the final days each time, except for Mp48 there was a...
Forum: Marin's Mersenne-aries 2021-10-06, 16:31
Replies: 136
Views: 10,761
Posted By kriesel
Projections for Mp#49*-51* were previously posted...

Projections for Mp#49*-51* were previously posted (https://www.mersenneforum.org/showpost.php?p=502995&postcount=11) 2021-08-26 and you were notified of that. See page 5 of second attachment for...
Forum: Marin's Mersenne-aries 2021-10-06, 14:31
Replies: 136
Views: 10,761
Posted By kriesel
"very good"...

"very good" (https://idioms.thefreedictionary.com/there+is+none+so+blind+as+those+who+will+not+see) until irrefutably proven otherwise. Yet the denial continues.
Forum: Marin's Mersenne-aries 2021-10-06, 09:38
Replies: 136
Views: 10,761
Posted By kriesel
Nonsense. The data you graphed and used to make...

Nonsense. The data you graphed and used to make your predictions included the effects of whatever poaching occurred along the way to those data points. You chose an obvious but inferior metric, and...
Forum: Marin's Mersenne-aries 2021-10-06, 08:56
Replies: 136
Views: 10,761
Posted By kriesel
zero, milestone reached

1 LL and 1 PRP on 57773081. Server called it done. Milestone reached.
So just for good measure, I subsequently reported in an LLDC run earlier, that confirmed Sven Laubner's LL res64.
M57885161 is...
Forum: Marin's Mersenne-aries 2021-10-04, 12:26
Replies: 136
Views: 10,761
Posted By kriesel
1

Waiting longer than you might usually, would be rigging the outcome. (I suppose that could apply to the rest of us too...)

Now only AndersM's assignment on 57773081 remains, which is still...
Forum: Marin's Mersenne-aries 2021-10-03, 20:16
Replies: 136
Views: 10,761
Posted By kriesel
greenskull has no motivation to poach. Getting an...

greenskull has no motivation to poach. Getting an assignment under another alias and stalling it, or getting such deceptive help from a friend, would help move the milestone toward his prediction of...
Forum: Marin's Mersenne-aries 2021-10-03, 14:38
Replies: 136
Views: 10,761
Posted By kriesel
There are conceivable scenarios where the human...

There are conceivable scenarios where the human interference is from other than the assigned user, and unintentional as far as GIMPS goes. Hypothetical: AndersM as a college student home for the...
Forum: Marin's Mersenne-aries 2021-10-01, 18:55
Replies: 136
Views: 10,761
Posted By kriesel
Yes that might help. That would need to be...

Yes that might help. That would need to be someone like Madpoo or Prime95 that may have access to an email address, or forum ID != AndersM, for him.If not cleared soon it will also be delaying the...
Forum: Marin's Mersenne-aries 2021-10-01, 13:04
Replies: 136
Views: 10,761
Posted By kriesel
2

From https://www.mersenne.org/report_milestones/

Progress toward next GIMPS milestones (last updated 2021-10-01 12:45:11 UTC, updates every 15 minutes)


All exponents...
Forum: Marin's Mersenne-aries 2021-09-29, 23:22
Replies: 136
Views: 10,761
Posted By kriesel
AndersM? Is that you? I'd be happy to finish that...

AndersM? Is that you? I'd be happy to finish that one (https://www.mersenne.org/M57773081) for you, as would some other forumites, if you've had some computer problems that prevent continuing it.
Forum: Marin's Mersenne-aries 2021-09-29, 16:37
Replies: 136
Views: 10,761
Posted By kriesel
Currently the PrimeNet server is projecting...

Currently the PrimeNet server is projecting 2021-10-02 conclusion (https://www.mersenne.org/assignments/?exp_lo=57747433&exp_hi=57885161&execm=1&exp1=1&extf=1&exfirst=1).

But the assignment...
Forum: Marin's Mersenne-aries 2021-09-29, 10:35
Replies: 136
Views: 10,761
Posted By kriesel
You're weeks or months too late to this party. ...

You're weeks or months too late to this party.
All: it's good practice to read before posting. See https://mersenneforum.org/showpost.php?p=588895&postcount=79, just 7 posts before the quoted post....
Forum: Marin's Mersenne-aries 2021-09-29, 10:22
Replies: 136
Views: 10,761
Posted By kriesel
Since Ben alone accounts for ~half of primality...

Since Ben alone accounts for ~half of primality tests completed, Ben's scripts taking a second crack at the same exponent after an expiration is a coin toss. But the lost progress of the first...
Forum: Marin's Mersenne-aries 2021-09-28, 19:46
Replies: 136
Views: 10,761
Posted By kriesel
Ben Delo has several nearing expiration with...

Ben Delo has several nearing expiration with substantial progress made and no updates in nearly a month, in the 105M-106M...
Forum: Marin's Mersenne-aries 2021-09-28, 13:22
Replies: 136
Views: 10,761
Posted By kriesel
3

Did anyone claim to be able to project the conclusion exactly? Given the quantizations of lowest exponent completed, number of exponents remaining, exponent ETAs, client reporting time interval,...
Forum: Marin's Mersenne-aries 2021-09-28, 03:32
Replies: 136
Views: 10,761
Posted By kriesel
5

Two more will complete soon. All are progressing.
Forum: Marin's Mersenne-aries 2021-09-27, 13:16
Replies: 136
Views: 10,761
Posted By kriesel
6

Probably two more clear in the next day; all by ~2021-10-02. Average delta 25811.
Forum: Marin's Mersenne-aries 2021-09-26, 20:56
Replies: 136
Views: 10,761
Posted By kriesel
7

57797893 completed.
Forum: Marin's Mersenne-aries 2021-09-26, 14:40
Replies: 136
Views: 10,761
Posted By kriesel
8

That changed quickly. Lingering cert cleared, and 2 LL DC. MP#48* loses the * projected ~2021-10-01 by alternate method.
Extrapolating a linear fit through the various projections from M56 history...
Forum: Marin's Mersenne-aries 2021-09-26, 11:11
Replies: 136
Views: 10,761
Posted By kriesel
11

10 DC and 1 lingering CERT remain; 57760673 completed.
Forum: Marin's Mersenne-aries 2021-09-25, 14:02
Replies: 136
Views: 10,761
Posted By kriesel
12

12 (11 DC 1 cert) remain; 57760333 completed; smallest remaining delta 582, average 12905.
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