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-   -   Predict M52 (https://www.mersenneforum.org/showthread.php?t=23892)

GP2 2019-01-04 20:42

[QUOTE=Uncwilly;504936]I left these off the charts:
258150181 March 12, 2052
402143633
[/QUOTE]

In the first graph, it might be more orthodox to have time be the horizontal axis and the exponent as the vertical axis. Also, the exponent axis really ought to be logarithmic.

ChZ 2019-03-06 11:01

Recent Results:
M[URL="https://www.mersenne.org/report_exponent/?exp_lo=94029857&full=1"]94029857[/URL] is not prime. Res64: E7D36A179899BF__
M[URL="https://www.mersenne.org/report_exponent/?exp_lo=107448181&full=1"]107448181[/URL] is not prime. Res64: BC8CA4274CD2AC__
M[URL="https://www.mersenne.org/report_exponent/?exp_lo=110691517&full=1"]110691517[/URL] is not prime. Res64: EED0F015A35336__

Uncwilly 2019-03-06 15:35

[QUOTE=ChZ;510226]Recent Results:[/QUOTE]So, you targeted the specific exponents guessed. Big whoop! :groan:
You haven't bothered to make a guess in this thread. Your other 2 posts have been asking for help because you have had mis-matches. Why do you think that your results are valid? Do you think that the list that we have in this thread are magic exponents?

And BTW, your potshots at the exponents do not invalidate them as good guesses.
[QUOTE=Uncwilly;502537][B]THE RULES OF THE GAME:[/B][list=1][*][COLOR="White"].[/COLOR][*] [COLOR="white"].[/COLOR][*] [COLOR="white"].[/COLOR][*] If you guess a number that has known factor, at the time you posted, your guess will be ignored. It can have a 'composite' LL or PRP status (pending a recheck), but not a factor. Guessing a number with a known factor will count against you and impose a wait as in rule 6.][/list][/QUOTE]

masser 2019-03-06 15:37

[QUOTE=Uncwilly;510239] Do you think that the list that we have in this thread are magic exponents?
[/QUOTE]

Speak for yourself. My guesses are gold. I recommend ChZ checks them next.

GP2 2019-03-06 18:21

[QUOTE=Uncwilly;510239]So, you targeted the specific exponents guessed. Big whoop! :groan:
You haven't bothered to make a guess in this thread. Your other 2 posts have been asking for help because you have had mis-matches. Why do you think that your results are valid? Do you think that the list that we have in this thread are magic exponents?

And BTW, your potshots at the exponents do not invalidate them as good guesses.[/QUOTE]

Your reaction is very odd.

All the mismatches he posted have been verified good, except for [M]79961303[/M] which is 80% of the way through a triple check.

Christoph Zenger has turned in about 150 LL results over the years, and the vast majority are already verified good double-checks. There are about six bad results, all of which were from 2017 and earlier.

There is no rule against testing the exponents posted here, and no particular reason to think that these first-time results will be invalidated by double checks.

Uncwilly 2019-03-06 20:48

[QUOTE=GP2;510253]There is no rule against testing the exponents posted here, and no particular reason to think that these first-time results will be invalidated by double checks.[/QUOTE]It is often not about the specific exponent, rather range. To target them for LL is an exercise in ignorance (of the rules). It is about being closest. Doing TF to try to knock the guess out has potential as a strategy to win the game.

dcheuk 2019-03-11 03:21

M87668491 March 14, 2019
M89065523 March 14, 2020
M91761547 March 14, 2021

kriesel 2019-04-06 14:40

TF 2019-04-05 factor 104738601786867368806153 for M402143633
next guess:
402143717 2052-03-12

kriesel 2019-04-06 14:42

[QUOTE=LaurV;504056]What do we get if we guess right? :razz:[/QUOTE]Eternal fame and a silly grin. ;)

Uncwilly 2019-04-06 17:10

[QUOTE=kriesel;512863]TF 2019-04-05 factor 104738601786867368806153 for M402143633
next guess:
402143717 2052-03-12[/QUOTE]Please show me in the rules where a factor found for your guess allows for an new guess. And if it does, why a 60 day wait should not apply?

dcheuk 2019-04-07 17:23

[QUOTE=Uncwilly;512880]Please show me in the rules where a factor found for your guess allows for an new guess. And if it does, why a 60 day wait should not apply?[/QUOTE]

So harsh, but I guess rules are rules. :ermm:

Doesn't that means if curtisc were to join in, if he's on this forum that is, would get 7 guesses lol.


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