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-   -   Predict M50 (https://www.mersenneforum.org/showthread.php?t=20839)

Uncwilly 2016-01-13 00:37

Predict M50
 
With M49 all but certain, here is the new thread for guessing M50.
Based upon previous rules.

[B]THE RULES OF THE GAME:[/B][list=1][*][COLOR=DarkRed]Post your guess here, [B]no[/B] PM'ing.[/COLOR][*][COLOR=Olive]Your guess [B]must include a prime number[/B] (we are guessing the exponent) and or date of discovery. No ranges, they may be ignored (or we may take the worst case of the range as the choice.) [/COLOR][*][COLOR=Orange]You can [B]not[/B] guess a number (or date) that has already been guessed.[/COLOR][*][COLOR=DarkOrchid]If there is a tie (i.e. 2 posts are equally close and meet all other rules), the [B]first[/B] post gets it.[/COLOR][*][COLOR=Sienna]You may post 3 guesses. If all exponents up to your number have had a first time test, you may select another, after a 60 day wait. Same for date predictions.[/COLOR][*][COLOR=DarkSlateGray]All guesses received within the 48 hours before M50 is reported are [B]hereby disqualified[/B] (to prevent cheating).
I ask the moderators to lock this thread when M50 is reported.[/COLOR][*][COLOR=DarkOrange]The discoverer of M50 will have all guesses posted more than 2 days after they were assigned the expo that is reported to be prime, are [B]hereby disqualified.[/B][/COLOR][*][COLOR=RoyalBlue]If the prime that is reported fails the rechecks, those disqualified in 7 and 8 will be restored.[/COLOR][/list]
All previous guesses from other threads must be specifically restated.

Dubslow 2016-01-13 01:07

Much stricter, eh?

LaurV 2016-01-13 03:40

M50 has already been found. However, you are still allowed to try predicting M49... :razz:

Edit: and I like point 8, restoring itself...

firejuggler 2016-01-14 16:47

predicting M85,650,113 for M50 if there is none between M48 and the newly discovered M49 and
M67,750,363 if there is. as for the date... 3 january 2019.

petrw1 2016-01-14 18:31

87654349

2017-12-31

Batalov 2016-01-14 18:42

110691517
6-19-2019

R. Gerbicz 2016-01-14 18:52

57885161
2013-01-25

davar55 2016-01-14 19:13

I can't predict M50 until M49* is revealed,
but I do predict that there's only one MP
exponent between 60M and 100M, and I
predict that there are an infinity of MPs,
so M50 > 100M. I think M51 > 190M.

So is P95 going to be able to search that high or not?

petrw1 2016-01-14 19:32

[QUOTE=davar55;422435]
So is P95 going to be able to search that high or not?[/QUOTE]

I believe it is capable up to almost 600M

davar55 2016-01-14 19:45

[QUOTE=petrw1;422442]I believe it is capable up to almost 600M[/QUOTE]

Oh cool so we still might find a few more in a few years
before we (generic we) have to update to a P2020 program?

Uncwilly 2016-01-19 18:11

My first guess:

79,399,909 on the day before Valentines day 2017 (a gift to us).


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