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-   -   [Mission Accomplished] Let's finish primality verification through Mp#48*, M(57 885 161) (https://www.mersenneforum.org/showthread.php?t=26591)

Uncwilly 2021-05-15 22:20

I borged a new machine (one that I should have done months ago). It is set to do DCs.

moebius 2021-05-16 00:37

Make sure that the assignments are in the range up to M57 885 161, as the server may already output higher ranges.

Uncwilly 2021-05-16 01:35

[QUOTE=moebius;578509]Make sure that the assignments are in the range up to M57 885 161, as the server may already output higher ranges.[/QUOTE]
I put it to DC, what ever the server will give it. It is proving itself now with Cat 4's. I expect in 3 or 4 weeks it will be in the Cat 2 or 1 range. Since it is a borg, I will not babysit it too much.

kriesel 2021-06-15 14:12

[B]From [URL]https://www.mersenne.org/report_milestones/[/URL]
[/B]
[B]Progress toward next GIMPS milestones [I](last updated 2021-06-15 14:00:07 UTC, updates every 15 minutes)[/I][/B]
[LIST][*] All exponents below [COLOR=blue]55 916 617[/COLOR] have been tested and verified.[*] All exponents below [COLOR=blue]103 313 627[/COLOR] have been tested at least once.[*] Countdown to first time checking all exponents below 104 million: [URL="https://www.mersenne.org/assignments/?exp_lo=103313627&exp_hi=104000000&execm=1&exp1=1&extf=1&exdchk=1&excert=1"]91[/URL] [COLOR=black](2 available)[/COLOR][*] Countdown to first time checking all exponents below 105 million: [URL="https://www.mersenne.org/assignments/?exp_lo=103313627&exp_hi=105000000&execm=1&exp1=1&extf=1&exdchk=1&excert=1"]9 265[/URL] [COLOR=black](7 420 available)[/COLOR][*] Countdown to verifying all tests below 56 million: [URL="https://www.mersenne.org/assignments/?exp_lo=55916617&exp_hi=56000000&execm=1&exp1=1&extf=1&exfirst=1&excert=1"]21[/URL][*] Countdown to verifying all tests below 57 million: [URL="https://www.mersenne.org/assignments/?exp_lo=55916617&exp_hi=57000000&execm=1&exp1=1&extf=1&exfirst=1&excert=1"]565[/URL][*] Countdown to verifying all tests below M(57 885 161): [COLOR=blue]3 560[/COLOR][*] Countdown to verifying all tests below M(74 207 281): [COLOR=blue]295 610[/COLOR][*] Countdown to verifying all tests below M(77 232 917): [COLOR=blue]351 080[/COLOR][*] Countdown to verifying all tests below M(82 589 933): [COLOR=blue]449 789[/COLOR][/LIST]

Zhangrc 2021-06-15 15:20

[QUOTE=Uncwilly;578512]I put it to DC, what ever the server will give it. It is proving itself now with Cat 4's. I expect in 3 or 4 weeks it will be in the Cat 2 or 1 range. Since it is a borg, I will not babysit it too much.[/QUOTE]

Make sure that your account is set to get smallest exponents :)

Uncwilly 2021-06-15 15:32

[QUOTE=Zhangrc;581055]Make sure that your account is set to get smallest exponents :)[/QUOTE]I currently have 11 DC assignments in Cat 0 or Cat 1. I know what I am doing.

kriesel 2021-06-27 21:51

Projection for showing MP48* is MP48
 
1 Attachment(s)
Based on the previous few months countdown of remaining exponents to DC to 56M to zero today, and the current remaining count for Mp48*, an estimate is computed which yields ~2021-10-07.

Uncwilly 2021-06-27 23:46

[QUOTE=kriesel;582097]Based on the previous few months countdown of remaining exponents to DC to 56M to zero today, and the current remaining count for Mp48*, an estimate is computed which yields ~2021-10-07.[/QUOTE]
There is the effect of Cat 2, then Cat 1, and then Cat 0 limits passing the milestone.
And then there is the effect that as the exponents to achieve the milestone gets below say 20, there can be more intense activity than when it was 150 to go.

kriesel 2021-06-28 02:14

By using the history of reaching the 56M milestone, I believe most if not all those effects are well allowed for. The last bit might see a little more aggressive approach because of the priority of Mp48* over a minor 1M milestone. That would have the effect of moving the completion date earlier than the projection, and indicates the odds of reaching it this year are excellent. Any slowdown of completion rate due to run time scaling is modest compared to the calendar margin. (57885161/56M)^2.1 ~ 1.072. It is potentially offset by increased interest or additional DC signups or hardware upgrade easily. If it is not offset at all, it amounts to ~7.2% of 3.4 months = about a week later. That still leaves more than 2.5 months margin to complete it this year. Completing 58M this calendar year seems very likely, and 59M a moderate possibility.

But you know what an estimate is. It's a value we use, with caution, even though we know it is wrong.

ZacHFX 2021-06-30 17:48

2000 exponents to go until Mp48 is confirmed.

Uncwilly 2021-06-30 18:06

[QUOTE=Uncwilly;581056]I currently have 11 DC assignments in Cat 0 or Cat 1. I know what I am doing.[/QUOTE]
I have 10 that are being worked on or in queue. Should pick up another 1 or 2 soon.


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